Bottom-five team defense. Tampa Bay Rays +450. Unless it's a 12-team playoff field, in which case you can add in the Rays in the AL and the Brewers in the NL. The San Francisco Giants enter October with Major League Baseball's best record, while their rivals in the National League West, the Los Angeles Dodgers, have hopes of becoming baseball's first repeat champions since the New York Yankees won three straight from 1998 to 2000. Kurkjian: The beauty of the London Series. However, I think there's a good . That perception will only grow if productive veterans like John Means and Cedric Mullins are dealt. The Dodgers win 106 but the Giants win 107 again, and this time beat their rivals in the playoffs. They have a loaded lineup that features eight players with an OPS+ above 100 (league average). Projected record: 101-61 (97.3% playoff odds) If everything goes right . But if theres one team that can really challenge them, its the Astros, who similarly look even more terrifying than they did in their run to the World Series in 2021. And unlike a year ago, they have Justin Verlander and Lance McCullers healthy for a full postseason. If that's the case, then so much rides on their star hitters staying on the field. 2023 World Series. I think this is as wide open a field in the National League as we've had in some time, and I'm excited to watch that three-team race in the East play out. Yes, the Dodgers have the best relief ERA in the National League at 2.87 and a cornucopia of options from both sides: right-handers Evan Phillips, Chris Martin, Yency Almonte, Brusdar Graterol and Tommy Kahnle, left-handers Alex Vesia and David Price - all of whom theoretically could close in lieu of the deposed-but-still-around Craig Kimbrel. Frank Schwindel hits .342/.389/.613 over an entire OK, let's not get silly here. -- Schoenfield, Weakness that could stop them: For a team coming off a franchise-record 107 wins, the Giants' forecast is awfully full of red flags. Both squads are so strong and deep on both offense and pitching that I expect them to need all seven games to crown a champion. Houston Astros +700. The infield defense is much improved as hoped, helping Gerrit Cole win his first Cy Young Award. Forecast from How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Shane Bieber returns to his Cy Young form of 2020 and Triston McKenzie (3.65 ERA over his final 10 starts last year) makes The Leap and becomes a dominant starter. Get ready to dominate your fantasy baseball league. New York has also played as well on the road as at home this season, both by record and run differential. -- Gonzalez, One (realistic) bold prediction: Franco hits .325, the highest average by a 21-year-old in a full season since Albert Pujols hit .329 in 2001, and finishes second to Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in the batting race. If he does, he possesses the skill set to challenge for an MVP award. Over in the AL, Justin Verlander39 years old and in his first season back from Tommy John surgeryis showing no signs of slowing down. A year after losing 110 games, the D-backs finish over .500. For Myers and Hosmer to sprint past their preseason forecasts. MLB Playoff Odds | FanGraphs Baseball Phillies vs. Braves odds, prediction, time: 2023 MLB picks, Tuesday The Yankees have the firepower to simply club the Guardians into submission. Frankly, they might be the favorite regardless of foe, including the Dodgers and Astros. Unheralded Freddy Peralta had a 2.81 ERA and a .165 average allowed. It should -- that's what he hit over his final 78 games in 2021. -- Schoenfield, Weakness that could stop them: The position group is heavy with star power, augmented by the late-spring-training deal that brought AJ Pollock. According to Cot's Contracts, the Pads are around $10 million under the $230 million luxury tax threshold. The Braves are better than last year when they won it all. Check it out, The Astros and Rays were split among our voters -- why do you think Houston will win the American League? March 23rd, 2021 Will Leitch @ williamfleitch If we have learned anything in the last year -- and I am not sure we have -- it is that there's nothing more foolish than trying to make predictions. -- Gonzalez, One (realistic) bold prediction: Pavin Smith has a breakout year at the plate, hitting .300 with 22 home runs and making the All-Star Game. They have excellent options when a fourth starter is needed in Jose Urquidy, Luis Garcia and Cristian Javier. Oct 6, 2022 at 9:06 am ET 8 min read Getty Images The 2022 MLB regular season is in the books. 2023 MLB Mock Draft: Dylan Crews, Paul Skenes go early; playoff-close 2021 MLB season predictions: Division races, playoff picks, award After years of bad luck and just bad pitching, the rotation finally comes together. The Wild Card winners will be . 12 Boise State at No. Absolutely not. This number in the results table is the profit (or loss) based on a bettor placing $100 bets on each of the last 100 MLB computer picks made on the closing line. -- Gonzalez, One (realistic) bold prediction: Peralta pitches 164 innings to qualify for the ERA title -- and allows a .162 average, breaking Pedro Martinez's .167 mark in 2000 as the lowest ever for a qualified pitcher in a full season. San Diego's second- and third-highest players are right fielder Myers and first baseman Hosmer. Following a captivating end to the regular season, with playoff positioning going down to the final day, the MLB postseason field is complete. -- Jesse Rogers, 2021 MLB playoffs: Our predictions from the wild-card games through the World Series, Ohtani K's 10, homers twice despite cracked nail, Guardians' Francona to stay in hospital overnight, Mets GM not panicking, backs skipper Showalter, Ohtani hasn't 'thought that far ahead' on HR Derby, Jays' Manoah allows 11 runs in rookie-level game, Escobar becomes U.S. citizen, returns to Angels, Tigers LHP Boyd to undergo Tommy John surgery, Diamondbacks place P Kelly (calf) on 15-day IL, Kurkjian: The beauty of the London Series, defeated the Yankees in the postseason opener, Dodgers-Giants NLDS is set: Everything you need to know about the 8 remaining MLB playoff teams, In the end, Game 162 didn't bring us chaos, but it brought us great baseball, World Series 2021: Schedules, analysis and updates from the Braves-Astros Fall Classic. Two factors brought me to pick the Cardinals over the Dodgers: St. Louis is the hottest team in baseball, and I never believed the Dodgers were going to repeat as champions -- so if they're going to lose, why not in a single game instead of a longer series? The top two seeds in each league (Dodgers, Braves, Astros and Yankees) earned a first-round bye, while the other eight teams will square off in best-of-three series over the weekend (Guardians-Rays, Blue Jays-Mariners, Cardinals-Phillies and Mets-Padres are the four matchups). American League Playoff Field 1 of 9 Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images Houston Astros (96-51): AL West Champion New York Yankees (88-58): AL East Champion Cleveland Guardians (79-67): AL. 5 /MLB No. The 2023 MLB Season will begin on Thursday March 30 and is expected to conclude on Sunday, October 1 before the MLB Playoffs.. -- Gonzalez, One (realistic) bold prediction: Harper, Castellanos and Schwarber each hit 40 home runs, making them the fourth team with three players to hit 40 -- joining the 1973 Braves (Henry Aaron, Darrell Evans, Davey Johnson), 1996 Rockies (Ellis Burks, Vinny Castilla, Andres Galarraga) and '97 Rockies (Larry Walker, Castilla, Galarraga). As for the NL, I expect the Giants and Dodgers to give each other everything they have, while the Brewers cruise to a relatively easy win over the Braves, allowing Milwaukee to line up its pitching. The Giants have been the best team in baseball all year and everyone is going to see why in October. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Rays have some unfinished business in the American League after falling to L.A. in last year's Fall Classic -- and now we know they'll face the Boston Red Sox, who defeated the Yankees in the postseason opener Tuesday, in their division series. Just as the sports events we like to call March Madness are winding down, the 2023 Major League Baseball season is starting up with Opening Day. Heck, throw in Jared Walsh (.277/.340/.509, 29 home runs in 2021) and it's a fearsome foursome. You can find the full 2021 MLB postseason schedule here. Alex Bregman is healthy after last year's wrist injury and is once again an MVP candidate. He's already 24 and is extremely polished in every facet, bringing plus arm strength and defensive skills behind the plate and plus power and plate discipline in the batter's box. The World Series will be a rematch, albeit with a first-of-its kind path with some upsets along the way. -- Doolittle, Most likely 2022 award winner: Corey Seager landed the bigger contract (10 years, $325 million), but Marcus Semien (seven years, $175 million himself) has nearly doubled his fWAR over the past three years, while combining 85 homers with 29 stolen bases and an .854 OPS. Those adjustments have helped the Braves become an even better team than they were last year, and if Strider returns from his tweaked oblique in due timeadmittedly a big ifI think well see MLBs first repeat champs since 2000, led by Acua, their superstar who wasnt around for last years run. If it works, helping Keller find himself and Bryse Wilson realize his potential and Roansy Contreras transition to the majors, then it's a step in the right direction -- but that step might be of the baby variety, as Pittsburgh's rotation forecast foretells a continuing revolving door. MLB Predictions - Expert MLB Predictions Today | Pickswise The Astros are balanced and have experienced pitching and a solid bullpen. 9:10 am ET, You can find the full 2021 MLB postseason schedule here, 2023 MLB Mock Draft: Dylan Crews, Paul Skenes lead pack, Report: Mets' Scherzer could waive no-trade clause, Ohtani pulled with cracked fingernail, but then homers, Cubs game goes on despite 'unhealthy' air quality, Dodgers plan to bring Julio Uras off IL Saturday. This is no sure thing -- nothing in the playoffs is -- but the Mets have the right combination of players to pull off the upset. Sandy Alcantara and Trevor Rogers are a terrific one-two punch and receive Cy Young votes. ALWC winner: YankeesNLWC winner: DodgersALDS: NYY-TB, Rays in 4ALDS: CWS-HOU, Astros in 5NLDS: LAD-SF, Giants in 5NLDS: ATL-MIL, Brewers in 4ALCS: HOU-TB, Rays in 6NLCS: MIL-SF, Giants in 5WS: TB-SF, Rays in 7WS MVP: Joey Wendle. Rangers: Brock Porter, RHP (No. More MLB coverage: Inside Aaron Judges Pursuit of Home Run HistoryAaron Judge: The Authentic Home Run King The Guardians Are MLBs Most Interesting Playoff Team Lets F---ing Party: The Mariners Finally End Their 21-Year Playoff Drought How Austin Riley Became the Cornerstone of the Braves Core. Here's how the 10 playoff teams were built, ALWC winner: Red SoxNLWC winner: CardinalsALDS: BOS-TB, Rays in 5ALDS: CWS-HOU, White Sox in 5NLDS: STL-SF, Giants in 5NLDS: ATL-MIL, Brewers in 5ALCS: CWS-TB, Rays in 7NLCS: MIL-SF, Giants in 7WS: TB-SF, Giants in 6WS MVP: Brandon Crawford. They win 100 games while the Dodgers win 99. They cruise to their fifth straight NL East title behind the big bats of Matt Olson, Austin Riley, Ronald Acuna Jr., Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna, who rediscovers his 2020 offense. In the National League, well get another round of Dodgers-Giants and itll be a close series, but the loss of Clayton Kershaw will ultimately prove costly for L.A. But on paper, Cincinnati enters the season with one of baseball's weakest outfields. -- Doolittle, Most likely 2022 award winner: Judge has played in more than 145 games twice -- in 2017, when he finished second in AL MVP voting, and in 2021, when he finished fourth. -- Schoenfield, Weakness that could stop them: With a veteran-heavy rotation and a new veteran closer in Melancon, you can see Arizona's plan to push into the middle of the pack on the pitching side. Kyle Wright has a breakout campaign in the rotation while Mike Soroka finally makes it back in the second half. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts. Bogaerts is a prime MVP candidate once again. The team defense looks better, though a plus defensive center fielder would be nice. I like the idea of Mookie Betts winning the World Series every other season, basically his entire career. -- Joon Lee, NLDS: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves, (Beaman, Benetti, Bonzagni, Cockcroft, Colli, DeMartino, Doolittle, Glanville, Hembekides, Karabell, Keown, Kurkjian, Lee, Marrone, Mullen, Olney, Orlins, Ravech, Rogers, Rojas, Schoenfield, Vasgersian, Ullrich, Ward, Yates), (Barron, Baugh, DeAngelis, Flemming, McDaniel, Orlins, Nitzberg, Passan, Ravech, Stupienski, Yates), NLDS: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, (Barron, Baugh, Beaman, Cockcroft, Colli, DeAngelis, DeMartino, Doolittle, Gonzalez, Hembekides, Kurkjian, McDaniel, Nitzberg, Olney, Passan, Peterson, Rojas, Ward, Yates), (Benetti, Bonzagni, Flemming, Glanville, Karabell, Keown, Lee, Marrone, McCarthy, Mullen, Ravech, Schoenfield, Orlins, Stupienski, Ullrich, Vasgersian), San Francisco and Los Angeles have the two best records in baseball -- why did you take the Giants to beat the Dodgers? Pitching and defense -- no team is better up the middle with Willy Adames, Kolten Wong and Lorenzo Cain -- and just enough offense is a recipe that will deliver the Brewers the first World Series in franchise history. Very excited to see this play out, and there are so many fun teams and storylines this October (into November!). MLB standings based on team pitch clock violations - FanSided TB-CLE: 12 p.m. -- David Schoenfield, (Baugh, DeMartino, Doolittle, Gonzalez, Kurkjian, McDaniel, Nitzberg, Passan, Rojas, Ward), (Beaman, Cockcroft, Colli, Hembekides, Karabell, Lee, Olney, Orlins, Ullrich), (Bonzagni, Flemming, Glanville, Marrone, Mullen), Are games too long? -- Doolittle, Most likely 2022 award winner: Only two pitchers have ever won a Cy Young Award after undergoing Tommy John surgery, but Jacob deGrom was eight years removed and Eric Gagne was six years removed.
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